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Mark Warner Ready For Jim Gilmore May 31, 2008

Posted by justingerman in Uncategorized.
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Today Virginia Republicans nominated former Governor Jim Gilmore to take on Mark Warner in the race to fill John Warner’s Senate seat. Gilmore defeated Delegate Bob Marshall 5222-5156, which amounts to 50.2 to 49.7 percent. Let the coronation begin.

The Extended Primary: Against Conventional Wisdom March 9, 2008

Posted by justingerman in 2008 Presidential Election, The Democratic Party.
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The trendy line of thought in electoral politics is that campaigns have to define themselves and their opponents early or risk the possibility of their opponent creating the definitions for them. This idea springs mostly from John Kerry’s disasterous Spring in 2004 when the Bush campaign stuck the soft on defense and flip-flopper labels to his candidacy that he was forced to carry throughout the campaign.

The fear is that like John Kerry, Obama and Hillary will be silent in the face of Republican attacks. However, Spring 2008 could be even worse than 2004 because the candidates will be attacking each other as well as fielding attacks from Republicans. However, I feel like there are several reasons as to why 2008 is not like 2004 that could allow the Democratic nominee to benefit from an extended primary. (more…)

John McCain: Bob Dole or Teddy Roosevelt? February 17, 2008

Posted by justingerman in 2008 Presidential Election, John McCain.
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To me the big question going into the general election period is what kind of a candidate John McCain will be. From a certain perspective his improbable candidacy is so vastly different from any Republican presidential hopeful in the modern period. From immigration, campaign finance, stem cells, the Bush tax cuts, and a slew of other things McCain has clashed with the main-stream Republican point of view time and again. Let’s also be clear that the Republicans didn’t really pick McCain in a purely popular sense. His nomination was the product of a strong, but small base of support withing the Republican party, an extremely favorable primary schedule and mostly the unusual ideological combination of candidates in the field at various points in the race. This creates an extremely interesting circumstance for McCain to create a unique kind of candidacy. But will he follow the model of Teddy Roosevelt or simply slip into an imitation of Bob Dole? The following is a brief synopsis of how he could become either of these two men and what will happen if he does. (more…)